2021 Gaps Analysis

Beginning in 2020, the Wake County Continuum of Care has come together to re-structure how it makes decisions for policy and funding strategies, resulting in a new CoC governance board, committees, and homelessness system priorities. One of the first priorities established by the CoC governance board is to establish outcomes targets to improve system performance and identify the gaps in the current array of housing and services.

The intention of establishing these community-wide commitment to performance targets and funding strategies is to embody the Continuum of Care’s values that homelessness be rare, brief, and non-recurring in Wake County. 

Gaps Analysis/System Modeling Workgroup

A Gaps Analysis/System Modeling Workgroup was appointed by the CoC governing board to provide guidance for the effort. The Workgroup met bi-weekly with HUD Technical Assistance and Raleigh Wake Partnership to End Homelessness staff from June – August 2021. More information about the Workgroup can be found here.

2021 Data

This page provides the highlights and conclusions of the 2021 Gaps Analysis. For the underlying details and mor explanation, please DOWNLOAD THE FULL REPORT.

GOALS:

  1. Identify optimal combination of housing and services to make homelessness rare, brief, and non-recurring.
  2. Identify what the gaps are in the current system compared to the optimal system.

Identifying the Need

Annual Household Inflow Estimates

Homeless System Victim Services System
Homeless Unaccompanied Youth 18-24 325 80
Homeless Parenting Youth 18-24 100 25
Households with Children 25+ 375 175
Households without Children 25 – 55 800 500
Newly Homeless Households 55+ 375 75
Chronically Homeless*  275 10
Long-Term Non-Chronic 375 0
2625 865

*long-term homelessness + disability that prevents the person from living independently without supports

 

In a given year, there are 3,500 households in Wake County newly experiencing or stuck in homelessness.

Optimal Systems Projections

Project Type Unit of Measure UY 18-24 18-24 with Children 25+ with Children 25 – 54 without Children New 55+ Chronic Long Non-Chronic Total  System Inventory Needs
System CM PIT * caseload 151 27 180 440 209 0 203 1,210

(60 case managers)

Self-Resolve PIT unit caseload 8 3 2 5 1 0 0 N/A
Rapid Exit Funds PIT unit Capacity 5 0 14 65 2 0 0 86
Emergency Shelter PIT unit Capacity 90 beds 32 units (75 beds) 139 units (320 beds) 32 beds 112 beds 113 beds 113 beds 925 units (1,150 beds)
Transitional Housing PIT unit Capacity 51 19 19 65 11 0 0 165
Rapid Re-Housing PIT unit Capacity 223 53 334 358 46 0 45 1,059
Permanent Supportive Housing Annual New Units 40 12 56 65 32 450 68 723
Subsidized Housing Annual New Units 12 4 83 130 360 0 360 949

* A required activity for federal funding, the PIT Count provides an annual snapshot of literal homelessness for one night in January. The PIT Count describes literal homelessness; however, the PIT Count is only completed once per year; captures the number of people on one night only; and is generally recognized as an undercount.

Optimal Systems Projections

Project Type Total Point In Time System Inventory Needs
System CM 1,210

(60 case managers)

Self-Resolve N/A
Rapid Exit Funds 86
Emergency Shelter 925 units (1,150 beds)
Transitional Housing 165
Rapid Re-Housing 1,059
Permanent Supportive Housing 723
Subsidized Housing 949

* A required activity for federal funding, the PIT Count provides an annual snapshot of literal homelessness for one night in January. The PIT Count describes literal homelessness; however, the PIT Count is only completed once per year; captures the number of people on one night only; and is generally recognized as an undercount.

Systems Gaps

Project Type Unit of Measure Total PIT System Inventory Needs System Capacity  (7/2021) Difference/Gap How Close to Meeting Need
System Case Managers PIT caseload 60 Case Managers Which current positions could be re-purposed? 60* 0% *
Rapid Exit Funds Annual Funding Pool $3 million annually 0 $3 million 0%
Emergency Shelter PIT Bed Capacity 1,150 600 550 52%
Transitional Housing PIT Unit Capacity 165 Units/Beds 240 Units/Beds -75 145%
Rapid Re-Housing PIT Capacity 1,059 300 759 28%
Permanent Supportive Housing Annual New Units 723 0 Available Units 723 0%
Subsidized Housing Annual New Units 949 138 811 15%

* The Wake COC currently does not have any system Case Managers. All case management is done through homeless service programs. 

By comparing what we need to serve our current population experiencing homelessness to what housing and services we have to offer, we can find the difference or the gap in housing and services our system needs to fill. 

To make homelessness in Wake rare, brief, and nonrecurring we need:

  • 811 Subsidized Housing Units
  • 759 Rapid Re-housing Units
  • 550 Emergency Shelter beds
  • 723 Permanent Supportive Housing Units

Systems Gaps

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Project Type Unit of Measure Total PIT System Inventory Needs System Capacity  (7/2021) Difference/Gap
System Case Managers PIT caseload 60 Case Managers Which current positions could be re-purposed? 60*
Rapid Exit Funds Annual Funding Pool $3 million annually 0 $3 million
Emergency Shelter PIT Bed Capacity 1,150 600 550
Transitional Housing PIT Unit Capacity 165 Units/Beds 240 Units/Beds -75
Rapid Re-Housing PIT Capacity 1,059 300 759
Permanent Supportive Housing Annual New Units 723 0 Available Units 723
Subsidized Housing Annual New Units 949 138 811

* The Wake COC currently does not have any system Case Managers. All case management is done through homeless service programs.

By comparing what we need to serve our current population experiencing homelessness to what housing and services we have to offer, we can find the difference or the gap in housing and services our system needs to fill. 

To make homelessness in Wake rare, brief, and nonrecurring we need:

  • 811 Affordable Housing Units
  • 723 Permanent Supportive Housing Units
  • 759 Rapid Re-housing Units
  • 550 Emergency Shelter beds

CoC System Investment Priorities

  • Invest in Rapid Re-Housing
  • Ramp up Permanent Supportive Housing development (scattered site and congregate)
  • Continue to secure Subsidized/Affordable Housing
  • Investigate and Invest in System Case managers
  • Investigate and Invest in flexible rapid exit funding