2021 Gaps Analysis
Beginning in 2020, the Wake County Continuum of Care has come together to re-structure how it makes decisions for policy and funding strategies, resulting in a new CoC governance board, committees, and homelessness system priorities. One of the first priorities established by the CoC governance board is to establish outcomes targets to improve system performance and identify the gaps in the current array of housing and services.
The intention of establishing these community-wide commitment to performance targets and funding strategies is to embody the Continuum of Care’s values that homelessness be rare, brief, and non-recurring in Wake County.
Gaps Analysis/System Modeling Workgroup
A Gaps Analysis/System Modeling Workgroup was appointed by the CoC governing board to provide guidance for the effort. The Workgroup met bi-weekly with HUD Technical Assistance and Raleigh Wake Partnership to End Homelessness staff from June – August 2021. More information about the Workgroup can be found here.
2021 Data
This page provides the highlights and conclusions of the 2021 Gaps Analysis. For the underlying details and mor explanation, please DOWNLOAD THE FULL REPORT.
GOALS:
- Identify optimal combination of housing and services to make homelessness rare, brief, and non-recurring.
- Identify what the gaps are in the current system compared to the optimal system.
Identifying the Need
|
Annual Household Inflow Estimates |
Homeless System | Victim Services System |
| Homeless Unaccompanied Youth 18-24 | 325 | 80 |
| Homeless Parenting Youth 18-24 | 100 | 25 |
| Households with Children 25+ | 375 | 175 |
| Households without Children 25 – 55 | 800 | 500 |
| Newly Homeless Households 55+ | 375 | 75 |
| Chronically Homeless* | 275 | 10 |
| Long-Term Non-Chronic | 375 | 0 |
| 2625 | 865 |
*long-term homelessness + disability that prevents the person from living independently without supports
In a given year, there are 3,500 households in Wake County newly experiencing or stuck in homelessness.
Optimal Systems Projections
| Project Type | Unit of Measure | UY 18-24 | 18-24 with Children | 25+ with Children | 25 – 54 without Children | New 55+ | Chronic | Long Non-Chronic | Total System Inventory Needs |
| System CM | PIT * caseload | 151 | 27 | 180 | 440 | 209 | 0 | 203 | 1,210
(60 case managers) |
| Self-Resolve | PIT unit caseload | 8 | 3 | 2 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | N/A |
| Rapid Exit Funds | PIT unit Capacity | 5 | 0 | 14 | 65 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 86 |
| Emergency Shelter | PIT unit Capacity | 90 beds | 32 units (75 beds) | 139 units (320 beds) | 32 beds | 112 beds | 113 beds | 113 beds | 925 units (1,150 beds) |
| Transitional Housing | PIT unit Capacity | 51 | 19 | 19 | 65 | 11 | 0 | 0 | 165 |
| Rapid Re-Housing | PIT unit Capacity | 223 | 53 | 334 | 358 | 46 | 0 | 45 | 1,059 |
| Permanent Supportive Housing | Annual New Units | 40 | 12 | 56 | 65 | 32 | 450 | 68 | 723 |
| Subsidized Housing | Annual New Units | 12 | 4 | 83 | 130 | 360 | 0 | 360 | 949 |
* A required activity for federal funding, the PIT Count provides an annual snapshot of literal homelessness for one night in January. The PIT Count describes literal homelessness; however, the PIT Count is only completed once per year; captures the number of people on one night only; and is generally recognized as an undercount.
Optimal Systems Projections
| Project Type | Total Point In Time System Inventory Needs |
| System CM | 1,210
(60 case managers) |
| Self-Resolve | N/A |
| Rapid Exit Funds | 86 |
| Emergency Shelter | 925 units (1,150 beds) |
| Transitional Housing | 165 |
| Rapid Re-Housing | 1,059 |
| Permanent Supportive Housing | 723 |
| Subsidized Housing | 949 |
* A required activity for federal funding, the PIT Count provides an annual snapshot of literal homelessness for one night in January. The PIT Count describes literal homelessness; however, the PIT Count is only completed once per year; captures the number of people on one night only; and is generally recognized as an undercount.
Systems Gaps
| Project Type | Unit of Measure | Total PIT System Inventory Needs | System Capacity (7/2021) | Difference/Gap | How Close to Meeting Need |
| System Case Managers | PIT caseload | 60 Case Managers | Which current positions could be re-purposed? | 60* | 0% * |
| Rapid Exit Funds | Annual Funding Pool | $3 million annually | 0 | $3 million | 0% |
| Emergency Shelter | PIT Bed Capacity | 1,150 | 600 | 550 | 52% |
| Transitional Housing | PIT Unit Capacity | 165 Units/Beds | 240 Units/Beds | -75 | 145% |
| Rapid Re-Housing | PIT Capacity | 1,059 | 300 | 759 | 28% |
| Permanent Supportive Housing | Annual New Units | 723 | 0 Available Units | 723 | 0% |
| Subsidized Housing | Annual New Units | 949 | 138 | 811 | 15% |
* The Wake COC currently does not have any system Case Managers. All case management is done through homeless service programs.
By comparing what we need to serve our current population experiencing homelessness to what housing and services we have to offer, we can find the difference or the gap in housing and services our system needs to fill.
To make homelessness in Wake rare, brief, and nonrecurring we need:
- 811 Subsidized Housing Units
- 759 Rapid Re-housing Units
- 550 Emergency Shelter beds
- 723 Permanent Supportive Housing Units
Systems Gaps
| Project Type | Unit of Measure | Total PIT System Inventory Needs | System Capacity (7/2021) | Difference/Gap |
| System Case Managers | PIT caseload | 60 Case Managers | Which current positions could be re-purposed? | 60* |
| Rapid Exit Funds | Annual Funding Pool | $3 million annually | 0 | $3 million |
| Emergency Shelter | PIT Bed Capacity | 1,150 | 600 | 550 |
| Transitional Housing | PIT Unit Capacity | 165 Units/Beds | 240 Units/Beds | -75 |
| Rapid Re-Housing | PIT Capacity | 1,059 | 300 | 759 |
| Permanent Supportive Housing | Annual New Units | 723 | 0 Available Units | 723 |
| Subsidized Housing | Annual New Units | 949 | 138 | 811 |
* The Wake COC currently does not have any system Case Managers. All case management is done through homeless service programs.
By comparing what we need to serve our current population experiencing homelessness to what housing and services we have to offer, we can find the difference or the gap in housing and services our system needs to fill.
To make homelessness in Wake rare, brief, and nonrecurring we need:
- 811 Affordable Housing Units
- 723 Permanent Supportive Housing Units
- 759 Rapid Re-housing Units
- 550 Emergency Shelter beds
CoC System Investment Priorities
- Invest in Rapid Re-Housing
- Ramp up Permanent Supportive Housing development (scattered site and congregate)
- Continue to secure Subsidized/Affordable Housing
- Investigate and Invest in System Case managers
- Investigate and Invest in flexible rapid exit funding